Wisconsin vs. Maryland line, prediction: Take the Under


The Maryland Terrapins seem to be playing some of their best basketball on the road, posting wins at Wisconsin, Illinois and Minnesota the past 30 days. They will attempt to duplicate that road-warrior mentality at home on Wednesday against the Wisconsin Badgers.

When these two teams met in Madison on Dec. 28, Maryland’s 70-64 victory went over the closing total of 133, but it took tons of late-game fouling and a combined 13 points scored in the final minute of the game.

Both teams play a slow brand of basketball, with Wisconsin ranking 315th in the country in possessions per game and Maryland 322nd. With both teams rating in the bottom 100 in terms of turnovers forced on a per-possession basis, fast-break points should stay at a minimum while each team can run its methodical offense.

Both teams enter with shooting concerns. Maryland is making just 66.5 percent of its free throws versus Division I opponents, and though Wisconsin makes 40.3 percent of its 3-pointers at home, the figure dips to 31.2 percent on the road.

Wisconsin enters having scored 71 points or fewer in all five of its games that have not gone to overtime since the loss to Maryland. The Terrapins have scored 70 points or fewer in seven of their last eight games against DI competition.

With both teams content to take the full 30 seconds on the shot clock, the rematch of last month’s upset figures to feature a lot of defense and one-and-done possessions with both teams ranking in the country’s bottom 25 percent in missed shots that lead to an offensive rebound.

The play: Wisconsin-Maryland total, Under 130.5.

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